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SEI brief

Energy security should have more weight in low carbon scenarios

Energy security is an important pillar of energy policy, yet it generally gets only superficial treatment in low carbon scenarios and roadmaps. This brief, a joint effort by SEI staff, the Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI) and Lund University, analyses how energy security is dealt with in the EU’s Energy Roadmap 2050.

Måns Nilsson / Published on 2 September 2014
Citation

Johansson, B., D. K. Jonsson, A. Månsson, L. J. Nilsson, and M. Nilsson (2014). Energy security should have more weight in low carbon scenarios. SEI Discussion Brief: Stockholm, Sweden.

The authors of this brief points out that the roadmap charts only a few aspects of energy security, such as import dependency and variable electricity production, and argue that a more comprehensive analysis of security aspects would have made the roadmap even more useful as a basis for developing comprehensive energy policy.

Such an analysis would require more elaborate and detailed descriptions of energy scenarios, as well as broader and more sophisticated approaches to the concept of energy security.

The brief proposes that If the scenarios in the roadmap are to deal properly with a larger set of energy security issues they need to be developed in more detail, focus more on effects on various sectors, actors and consumer groups, and analyze energy systems under a variety of political and economic developments external to the EU. Furthermore, the mainly quantitative approaches to evaluating energy security must be complemented with qualitative approaches.

Download the discussion brief (PDF: 321kb)

SEI author

Måns Nilsson
Måns Nilsson

Executive Director

SEI Headquarters

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