Boats docked on boardwalk-lined Constitution River in Bridgetown, Barbados

This paper presents socio-economic scenarios for the Caribbean. Photo: Scott S. Bateman / Pixabay .

For this paper, the authors constructed four regional exploratory socio-economic scenarios that are partially consistent with global scenarios. In addition, national storylines for four island states were developed based on the regional scenarios. Using RCP 4.5, hotel water demand in Barbados is estimated under three of the regional scenarios based on compatibility. The results indicate there is a 17% difference between the highest and lowest estimated water demand, indicating the effect of varying socio-economic conditions on water demand.