A new SEI analysis finds that federal oil and gas subsidies helped spur and sustain the US shale boom.
The US government added as much as $20 billion a year to the value of new oil and gas projects over the last two decades, amplifying companies’ expected profits during the shale booms in the Bakken Formation, Haynesville Shale and Appalachian, Eagle Ford and Permian Basins, according to a new SEI report.
The report, How subsidies aided the US shale oil and gas boom, is one of the first analyses to estimate how much federal government policy has increased the expected value and reduced the risk of unconventional oil and gas development. Researchers focused on the three largest US oil and gas subsidies, all of which work by reducing the tax payments that the industry owes the government.
“Our findings show that these tax provisions amplified firms’ expected profit from investing in shale oil and gas. This made risky projects more desirable to investors, paving the way for a shale boom that significantly increased the country’s production of oil and gas,” said SEI Scientist Ploy Achakulwisut, who performed the modeling for the project. “In high-price years, companies would have expected $4 more per barrel of oil on average than they would have without these subsidies.”
Researchers analyzed the production and costs data of 2450 oil and gas fields that started producing from 1998–2019. For each field, they estimated how three subsidies affected the expected value in the year development began: the accelerated amortization period for geological and geophysical expenses, expensing of intangible drilling costs and use of percentage depletion for oil and gas wells. Since the analysis is retrospective and companies do not make their investment decisions public, the findings are estimates.
“This analysis shows that the tax code is a powerful policy tool – one that can influence what energy projects get developed. As the Biden administration and Congress consider reforming the tax code, they can think about how to move away from fossil fuel development, using the tax code instead to support investments that lead to improved public health and cleaner energy”, said SEI Senior Scientist Peter Erickson, the study’s lead author.
For interviews and further information, please contact:
Emily Yehle, Senior Communications Officer, SEI US (PDT time zone)
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