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Assessing adaptation progress for the global stocktake

Despite growing support for climate adaptation action, it remains difficult to track and demonstrate progress, including towards the global goal on adaptation. A prevailing lack of rigour in adaptation reporting and evaluation must be addressed immediately.

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Citation

Canales, N., Klein, R. J. T., Bakhtaoui, I., & Macura, B. (2023). Assessing adaptation progress for the global stocktake. Nature Climate Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01656-x

The UNFCCC global stocktake tracks progress towards achieving the three global goals of the Paris Agreement. The global goal on adaptation is to enhance adaptive capacity, strengthen resilience and reduce vulnerability to climate change. Attempts at demonstrating progress towards this imprecisely worded goal have challenges, however.

Evaluating adaptation interventions in developing countries could be an important contribution to the global stocktake, which includes a review of the adequacy and effectiveness of adaptation action and support. However, lack of reporting and evaluation rigour hinders the assessment of adaptation effectiveness.

The authors of this study identified four challenges related to the availability and quality of evidence for assessing adaptation progress, and propose solutions.

Summary of adaptation evaluation challenges and solutions

Evaluation focus Adaptation outputs and outcomes Impact of adaptation interventions
Constraint Availability of evidence Quality of evidence Availability of evidence Quality of evidence
Challenge Data on intervention outputs and outcomes are not easily accessible or publicly available Reporting of adaptation intervention outputs and outcomes is incomplete and inconsistent Rigorous independent impact evaluations of adaptation interventions are few and far between Process, not progress is often measured and evaluated in adaptation
Solution The adaptation community (policymakers, funders, practitioners, researchers) creates a free, comprehensive and easy-to-use global database of adaptation interventions The adaptation community uses agreed indicators consistently to evaluate and report adaptation outcomes at intervention level Funders and implementers invest in rigorous monitoring and evaluation of adaptation interventions Adaptation evaluators learn from development research and practice and build on existing approaches to impact evaluation
Two people in an agricultural field with clipboards and monitoring edge plants.

Two people in an agricultural field monitoring edge plants. British Columbia, Canada. Photo: Climate Visuals.

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SEI authors

Nella Canales
Nella Canales

Research Fellow

SEI Headquarters

Richard J.T. Klein
Richard J. T. Klein

Team Leader: International Climate Risk and Adaptation; Senior Research Fellow

SEI Headquarters

Biljana Macura
Biljana Macura

Senior Research Fellow and Team Lead

SEI Headquarters

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