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Journal article

Attributing deforestation-driven biodiversity decline in the Gran Chaco to agricultural commodity supply chains

This study investigates how agricultural commodity supply chains, particularly for soy and beef, contribute to biodiversity decline in the Gran Chaco region of Argentina and Paraguay.

Michael Lathuillière, Vivian Ribeiro / Published on 17 July 2025

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Citation

Carpenter, I., Kuemmerle, T., Romero-Muñoz, A., Aguiar, S., Gasparri, I., Lathuillière, M. J., Nanni, S., Ribero, V., & Baumann, M. (2025). Attributing deforestation-driven biodiversity decline in the Gran Chaco to agricultural commodity supply chains. Global Environmental Change, 92, 103011. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103011

Key messages

  • Pasture expansion had a greater biodiversity impact than cropland expansion.

  • Biodiversity decline from consumption depended on location and quantity of volumes.

  • Domestic consumption risked driving greater biodiversity decline.

  • Differing results based on facet of biodiversity considered.

Owl monkey

Owl monkey (Aotus trivirgatus) Gran Chaco, Paraguay

Photo: Thomas Vinke / Getty Images

Agricultural expansion is one of the principal drivers of biodiversity loss globally. Attributing biodiversity loss to domestically consumed versus internationally traded agricultural production is vital to make supply chains more transparent and sustainable. However, such an attribution is challenging due to the complexity of agricultural supply chains and the lack of tools and data.

Here, the authors attributed biodiversity decline in the Gran Chaco, specifically the Argentinian and Paraguayan Chaco, to both soy and beef agricultural commodities and the domestic and foreign demand for these. They integrated three sources of multitemporal data at a subnational scale (data on mammal diversity, land use change and commodity trade) to first differentiate pasture- versus cropland-driven biodiversity decline and second, to assess the share of the decline associated with domestically consumed and internationally traded Argentinian and Paraguayan soy and Paraguayan beef.

In doing so, the authors provided four novel insights. First, pasture expansion had a greater relative biodiversity impact than cropland expansion. Second, the biodiversity decline associated with domestic and international consumption depended on both the quantity of imports and the precise location of production and sourcing. Third, domestic consumption of commodities in Argentina and Paraguay was associated with a much greater risk of driving decline in biodiversity than agricultural exports from these nations. Fourth, considering only one facet of biodiversity risks underestimating the decline in biodiversity linked to agricultural expansion and commodity supply chains.

By connecting agriculturally driven biodiversity decline in the Gran Chaco to commodity supply chains, the authors highlight the importance of increasing the transparency of supply chains to make them more sustainable. Doing so will be critical to prevent further biodiversity loss in not only the Gran Chaco but also the other dry forests of the world.

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SEI authors

Michael Lathuilliere
Michael Lathuillière

Senior Research Fellow and Team Leader for Trase Research and Development

SEI Headquarters

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Global Environmental Change Open access
Topics and subtopics
Land : Forests / Economy : Supply chains
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