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Modelling a resilient and integrated energy system for Central Asia

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Other publication

Modelling a resilient and integrated energy system for Central Asia

A report co-authored by an SEI expert, using SEI’s flagship energy modelling tools, finds that improved energy connectivity in Central Asia can save the region at least USD 1.4 billion annually by 2050.

Jason Veysey / Published on 11 March 2025

Citation

Brkic, I., Khamrakoulova, N., Matteini, D., Piwowarska, A., Gong, H., & Veysey, J. (2025). Modelling a Resilient and Integrated Energy System for Central Asia. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe. https://unece.org/sed/documents/2025/03/modelling-resilient-and-integrated-energy-system-central-asia

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While Central Asia has a vast potential to develop large-scale renewable energy systems, it remains heavily reliant on fossil fuels. This paradigm is increasingly challenged by the imperative of decarbonization and rapidly growing energy demand in the region.

Some integration of energy systems exists among Central Asian countries, but the region’s infrastructure is not prepared for a transition to low-carbon energy and real-time power trading across borders. Significant investment and increased governmental cooperation are needed to improve the reliability of electricity grids and other channels for energy trade, which would, in turn, bring economic and environmental benefits to the region.

This report, headed by the UN Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE), explores the benefits of greater energy connectivity across the region. SEI used its flagship energy modelling tools, LEAP and NEMO, to provide the scenario modelling for the report. The analysis finds that greater integration of energy systems among Central Asian countries would:

  • save the region at least USD 1.4 billion in electricity production costs each year by 2050;
  • boost the variety and share of low-carbon and renewable energy sources available to each country;
  • bolster countries’ energy security;
  • drive economic growth;
  • help countries meet their climate goals; and
  • allow for the development of regional electricity markets.

SEI author

2018 portrait of jason veysey
Jason Veysey

Energy Modeling Program Director and Senior Scientist

SEI US