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Journal article

Anticipatory governance for social-ecological resilience

This paper seeks to identify how anticipation is defined and understood in the literature and to explore the role of anticipatory practice to address individual, social, and global challenges.

Björn Nykvist / Published on 9 January 2015

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Citation

Boyd, B., B. Nykvist, S. Borgström, and I.A. Stacewicz (2015). Anticipatory governance for social-ecological resilience. AMBIO, 44(1 Supp.), 149-161.

Anticipation is increasingly central to urgent contemporary debates, from climate change to the global economic crisis. Anticipatory practices are coming to the forefront of political, organizational, and citizens’ society. Research into anticipation, however, has not kept pace with public demand for insights into anticipatory practices, their risks and uses. Where research exists, it is deeply fragmented.

This paper uses a resilience lens to examine anticipation and its role in addressing individual, social, and global challenges. The authors illustrate how varying forms of anticipatory governance are enhanced by multi-scale regional networks and technologies and by the agency of individuals, drawing from an empirical case study on regional water governance of Mälaren, Sweden. Finally, we discuss how an anticipatory approach can inform adaptive institutions, decision making, strategy formation, and societal resilience.

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SEI author

Bjorn Nyqvist
Björn Nykvist

Head of Division - Global Agendas, Climate and Systems

SEI Headquarters

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10.1007/s13280-014-0604-x Closed access
Tags
resilience