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The aim of this article is to present and discuss a method for generating locally relevant scenarios of future change nested in scenarios that focus on global change. The method combines participatory workshops with the use of narratives from the scenario framework developed by the climate change research community.
The article also presents results from using this method in four workshops in the Barents region (northern Fennoscandia and northwest Russia) and relates these results to elements of the global narratives.
The overarching question explored is: What future changes may influence the Barents region economically, environmentally and socially within the perspective of one to two generations? The question addresses a gap in knowledge about how the interaction among different drivers of change may affect adaptation action at the local level in general and in this region in particular.
Based on this empirical material, the specific question for this paper is what further perspectives the engagement with local and regional actors can bring to narratives about global change.
Read the article (external link to journal – open access)
Journal article / The development of artificial intelligence has likely reached an inflection point, with implications for research in climate scenarios.
Media advisory / On 19 December, an esteemed panel will share insights into the COP28 negotiations and what they mean for the climate challenge facing the world's countries.
Press release / The COP28 agreement to transition away from fossil fuels marks a historic milestone, reflecting the long-standing evidence presented by SEI and partners.
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