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Journal article

A theory of change approach to enhance the post-2030 sustainable development agenda

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Journal article

A theory of change approach to enhance the post-2030 sustainable development agenda

A better approach is needed to assess potential impact and feasibility of proposals.

Nina Weitz, Therese Bennich, Måns Nilsson / Published on 16 January 2026

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Citation

Allen, C., Malekpour, S., Weitz, N., Bennich, T., Pedercini, M., Sagar, A., Griggs, D., Raven, R., Sun, Y., Pradhan, P., Sénit, C.-A., Stevance, A.-S., Leininger, J., Lafortune, G., Llanos, A. O., Onoda, S., Fernando, G., Lechner, A. M., Mohan, A. V., … Nilsson, M. (2026). Science, 391(6782), 241–244. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adz5704

As the 2030 deadline for the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) nears and progress remains limited, researchers are proposing measures to enhance the next, post-2030, agenda to improve implementation. With more proposals expected in future, the authors argue for a systematic approach to help researchers and policy-makers design and assess them. This requires a theory of change that explains how and why proposals will improve implementation of the next agenda, while also considering their political feasibility. They start by constructing an implicit theory of change underpinning the current 2030 Agenda to revisit how the SDGs were intended to work and identify key successes and failures. The authors then propose an approach for assessing proposals put forward to improve the post-2030 agenda on the basis of their impact and feasibility.

Access this article via the AAAS e-print link: https://www.science.org/eprint….

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SEI authors

Nina Weitz
Nina Weitz

Senior Research Fellow

SEI Headquarters

Therese Bennich
Therese Bennich

Research Fellow

SEI Headquarters

Måns Nilsson
Måns Nilsson

Former Executive Director

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