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SEI brief

Assessing cascading effects from multiple hazards: an example from Sweden

The HydroHazards project explores locations, sectors, and vital societal functions exposed to multiple hydrometeorological events. The project devises methods and tools to assess the cascading effects that multiple events may have upon critical infrastructures and social groups. This brief provides an overview of these methods and tools and a summary of their application in a Swedish case study.

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Citation

Barquet, K., Berg, P., Hieronymus, M., Vieira Passos, M., André, K., Segnestam, L., Englund, M., Inga, K., & Bin Ashraf, F. (2022). Assessing Cascading Effects from Multiple Hazards: An Example from Sweden. https://doi.org/10.51414/sei2022.042

Much of the existing assessments of climate change impacts are large-scale simulations. Small- and local-scale assessments are necessary for nuanced understanding of possible impacts of multiple hazards on society. This view is needed for supporting local adaptation strategy and planning. At the same time, societies’ dependency on critical infrastructure and vital societal services is increasing, due to growing system complexity and interconnectedness. Together, these shifts are likely to increase societal vulnerability and impact adaptive capacity.

In response to this need, HydroHazards zooms into the municipality of Halmstad to explore the likelihood of multiple hydrometeorological (i.e., water and weather) events occurring sequentially or in the same location. Furthermore, we investigate the effects that climate change may have on the intensity and frequency of multiple hazards by focusing on extreme – low likelihood but high impact – events. Lastly, we look at the cascading or so-called domino effects on critical infrastructures and vital societal services and how these effects may cause new social vulnerabilities.

Correction, 11 November 2022: This publication has been corrected to reflect a co-author’s name is Faisal Bin Ashraf, not Faisal Ashraf.

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Download the project brief / PDF / 915 KB

SEI authors

Karina Barquet
Karina Barquet

Team Leader: Water, Coasts and Ocean; Senior Research Fellow

SEI Headquarters

Marlon Vieira Passos
Marlon Vieira Passos

Research Associate

SEI Headquarters

Karin André
Karin André

Team Leader: Cities, Communities and Consumption; Senior Research Fellow

SEI Headquarters

Mathilda Englund
Mathilda Englund

Research Associate

SEI Headquarters

Katarina Inga
Katarina Inga

Research Associate

SEI Headquarters

Faisal Ashraf
Faisal Bin Ashraf

Research Fellow

SEI Headquarters

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